Retail sales not as bad as they seem
Economic Analysis | DailyIn today's Eyeopener
- Today March unemployment, April’s consumer confidence, German Ifo, US data
- Retail sales slightly below zero in March, mostly due to seasonal factors
- Acceleration of money supply in March, some deceleration of loans
- Zloty and CEE currencies stable, domestic yield curves slightly higher
New weaker data bring the May cut closer
Economic Analysis | DailyIn today's Eyeopener
- Today March retail sales and money supply, flash PMIs in Europe
- March industrial and construction output below forecasts, wages slowed down
- General government deficit in 2025 again above 6% of GDP?
- IMF cut global economic forecasts
- Zloty weaker, yield curves lower after weaker March data
Today important domestic data
Economic Analysis | DailyIn today's Eyeopener
- Today a lot of important domestic data
- D. Trump wants to analyse ways to fire Fed head
- Zloty and bond yields stable
Upside revision of GDP
Economic Analysis | DailyIn today's Eyeopener:
- Today no key data releases, reduced market activity
- Quarterly GDP data for 2024 revised slightly higher, investment growth slashed
- ECB cut rates by 25bp, sees the tariff wars effect on inflation as still uncertain
- Złoty stable, domestic bond yields a bit lower
Core inflation stayed at 3.6%
Economic Analysis | DailyIn today's Eyeopener:
- Today update of Polish quarterly GDP data for 2023-2024, ECB decision
- Polish core inflation was 3.6% y/y in March, the same as in February, some decline was expected
- Złoty returned below 4.30 vs. the euro, marginal rise in domestic interest rate market